Prediction Of Student Achievement Using Artificial Neural Network And Support Vector Regression At SMK TELKOM Lampung

Abstract

The analysis of student performance is crucial in vocational schools because it helps identify the challenges students face in preparing themselves for the workforce. By integrating data mining techniques such as Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), educators can enhance their understanding of factors that improve student learning outcomes. An artificial neural network (ANN) is composed of interconnected artificial neurons that can learn from input data and make complex predictions, including academic achievements. The structure and function of the human brain inspire ANN. This study compares the effec- tiveness of the artificial neural network (ANN) method with other methodologies, such as support vector regression (SVR), to predict student achievement at SMK Telkom Lampung. Primary data collected from SMK Telkom Lampung includes 4939 examples with 550 cases, 26 features, and 4 meta-attributes. Performance evaluation involves metrics such as Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and coefficient of determination (R2). The coefficient of determination (R2) value of the Neural Network at 0.001 is higher than the R2 value of SVR, which reaches -0.036. Research find- ings indicate that the Artificial Neural Network model slightly outperforms the Support Vector Regression model, with lower prediction error rates and better ability to explain data variability.